Over the last 24 hours, The Open Network (TON) has been trading within a relatively narrow range, reflecting market indecision. TON is currently priced at $5.6876, representing a surge of 3.46% in the last 24 hours. Despite this marginal movement, several key indicators point to a potential breakout. Traders are closely watching TON’s price action, anticipating whether it will break out to the upside or downside. In this analysis, we look into the technical indicators such as the exponential moving averages (EMAs) and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to forecast TON’s price direction in the short term.
EMA Indicators Highlight Key Support and Resistance Levels
TON’s price is navigating within a tight range defined by the 20, 50, 100, and 200-period exponential moving averages (EMAs). The 20 EMA, currently situated at $5.6581, is acting as the closest support level. Below it, the 50 EMA at $5.6338 and the 100 EMA at $5.6225 offer further reinforcement, creating a zone of layered support that the price will need to breach if it heads downward. The 200 EMA, sitting at $5.5944, serves as a crucial longer-term support, providing a buffer against steep declines.
The EMA structure shows a converging pattern, which typically precedes a breakout. The current consolidation, where the price is coiling within these moving averages, suggests that TON is building momentum for a more significant move. If TON can hold above the 20 EMA and push higher, the price may retest its immediate resistance levels, particularly $5.6963 and $5.7086. However, bearish momentum could take control if the price dips below the 100 or 200 EMA, pulling the price down toward $5.50.
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RSI Signals Weakening Bullish Momentum
One of the most telling indicators in this setup is the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which currently shows a bearish divergence with a reading of -0.8708. This divergence suggests that bullish momentum has been fading while the price has been consolidating. The RSI remains in neutral territory, but its downward trend signals that bears could be gaining strength.
Despite the negative RSI divergence, it’s important to note that the index has not yet entered oversold territory. This leaves room for more volatility, particularly if buyers re-enter the market. However, traders should remain cautious as the RSI’s current trend points toward a possible price retracement.
Key Levels to Watch
- Immediate Resistance: The first significant resistance level to monitor is $5.6963. If the price can break this level, we could see TON rally toward $5.80 and beyond. The next resistance level after that is $5.7086.
Critical Support: On the downside, the 20 EMA at $5.6581 and the 50 EMA at $5.6338 are the nearest support levels. A breach below the 100 EMA at $5.6225 could signal a bearish reversal, with the 200 EMA at $5.5944 acting as a final support before steeper losses.